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	<title>Comments on: A primer of curve fitting.</title>
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	<link>https://habitablezone.com/2013/05/30/a-primer-of-curve-fitting/</link>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2013/05/30/a-primer-of-curve-fitting/#comment-24327</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 May 2013 21:26:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://habitablezone.com/?p=33347#comment-24327</guid>
		<description>Month to month comparisons like the one I publish at the beginning of the month for the previous month are actually an average for the entire month, not the low figure for the month.  The yearly ice curve I sometimes post (the colorful one that looks like a crazy sine wave) is a five day rolling average.

I once wrote an X-ray diffraction data analysis program that had a user-controllable variable averaging window size with user-adjustable weighting for each observation within a window.  It used some new statistics I &quot;invented&quot;, like the mean deviation from the mean, the median deviation from the mean, the mean deviation from the median, and the median deviation from the median.  The crystallographer I was working for loved fiddling with these buttons.

You could do stuff like that with Fortran.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Month to month comparisons like the one I publish at the beginning of the month for the previous month are actually an average for the entire month, not the low figure for the month.  The yearly ice curve I sometimes post (the colorful one that looks like a crazy sine wave) is a five day rolling average.</p>
<p>I once wrote an X-ray diffraction data analysis program that had a user-controllable variable averaging window size with user-adjustable weighting for each observation within a window.  It used some new statistics I &#8220;invented&#8221;, like the mean deviation from the mean, the median deviation from the mean, the mean deviation from the median, and the median deviation from the median.  The crystallographer I was working for loved fiddling with these buttons.</p>
<p>You could do stuff like that with Fortran.</p>
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		<title>By: podrock</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2013/05/30/a-primer-of-curve-fitting/#comment-24326</link>
		<dc:creator>podrock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 May 2013 19:55:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://habitablezone.com/?p=33347#comment-24326</guid>
		<description>A tidy little discussion. 

For a time series, such as the stock market, sea ice extent, or the output of a photovoltaic system, moving averages are very useful for spotting trends. Adjusting the period of the moving average can show long and short-term patterns. Taking the last example - a PV system - will see a wide range of daily harvest amounts. Cloudy days at any time of year will result in only a few kilowatt hours. A sunny day in winter might produce only half as many kWh&#039;s as a sunny day in summer. By generating a 30 day moving average, one can predict what the same period next year should average. By using a 90 day moving average, seasonal norms can be visualized. Comparing yearly moving averages can show how the system is doing over its lifetime. For sea ice and glacial data, a five year moving average would be useful for assessing the over-all gain or loss of the system.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A tidy little discussion. </p>
<p>For a time series, such as the stock market, sea ice extent, or the output of a photovoltaic system, moving averages are very useful for spotting trends. Adjusting the period of the moving average can show long and short-term patterns. Taking the last example &#8211; a PV system &#8211; will see a wide range of daily harvest amounts. Cloudy days at any time of year will result in only a few kilowatt hours. A sunny day in winter might produce only half as many kWh&#8217;s as a sunny day in summer. By generating a 30 day moving average, one can predict what the same period next year should average. By using a 90 day moving average, seasonal norms can be visualized. Comparing yearly moving averages can show how the system is doing over its lifetime. For sea ice and glacial data, a five year moving average would be useful for assessing the over-all gain or loss of the system.</p>
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