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	<title>Comments on: Happy New Year.</title>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34882</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jan 2016 15:55:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34882</guid>
		<description>If we are indeed rewarded, or punished, according to our contributions, or lack of them, then the distribution of rewards and punishments should be identical to the statistical distribution of our social and economic virtues and shortcomings.  

The fact that they are not is prima facie evidence that how hard we work has little to do with how wealthy we are.

The fact that the distribution of wealth is not a constant, but has been evolving over history to a more equitable one, also suggests the  correlation between social virtue and financial wealth is, at best, somewhat exaggerated. If how much you own depends on how much good you provide to the society, and how hard you work to produce it, then the richest people in the country should be migrant farm laborers.

The insistence that the rich are so because they deserve to be immediately implies that those who are poor also deserve to be poor: that the poor are naturally stupid, lazy, and criminal while the rich are naturally clever, hard-working and virtuous.  

This arbitrary division of society, and the use of property and wealth to identify and distinguish between the worthy and the unworthy
is fascism.  It is not fascism based on aristocratic birth, or race, or nationalism, or religion, but on property and income.

No one is saying economic freedom demands that everyone have the same property and income, the same wealth.  Economic freedom means everyone has the same opportunity.  People should be rewarded in proportion to what they produce.  They should not be rewarded for what they accumulated.

I will be the first to concede that these remarks are overly simplified, perhaps even somewhat exaggerated.  But then again, so is the simplistic nonsense that &quot;supply and demand&quot; and the &quot;invisible hand&quot; will solve all our problems if we just leave the market to regulate itself.  As Piketty remarks, in page 20 of his introduction,



&lt;blockquote&gt;What are the major conclusions to which these novel historical sources have led me?  The first is that one should be very wary of any economic determinism in regard to inequalities of wealth and income. The history of the distribution of wealth has always been deeply political, and it cannot be reduced to purely economic mechanisms.  In particular, the reduction of inequality that took place in most developed countries between 1910 and 1950 was above all a consequence of war and of policies adopted to cope with the shocks of war.  Similarly, the resurgence of inequality after &lt;strong&gt;1980&lt;/strong&gt; is due largely to the political shifts of the past several decades, especially in regard to taxation and finance. The history of inequality is shaped by the way economic, social and political actors view what is just and what is not, as well as by the relative power of those actors and the collective choices that result. It is the joint product of all relevant actors combined.

The second conclusion, which is the heart of the book, is that the dynamics of wealth distribution reveal powerful mechanisms pushing alternatively toward convergence and divergence [concentration vs distribution of wealth].  Furthermore, there is no natural, spontaneous process to prevent destabilizing, inegalitarian forces from prevailing permanently.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Hmmm.  I wonder what happened in 1980...


</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If we are indeed rewarded, or punished, according to our contributions, or lack of them, then the distribution of rewards and punishments should be identical to the statistical distribution of our social and economic virtues and shortcomings.  </p>
<p>The fact that they are not is prima facie evidence that how hard we work has little to do with how wealthy we are.</p>
<p>The fact that the distribution of wealth is not a constant, but has been evolving over history to a more equitable one, also suggests the  correlation between social virtue and financial wealth is, at best, somewhat exaggerated. If how much you own depends on how much good you provide to the society, and how hard you work to produce it, then the richest people in the country should be migrant farm laborers.</p>
<p>The insistence that the rich are so because they deserve to be immediately implies that those who are poor also deserve to be poor: that the poor are naturally stupid, lazy, and criminal while the rich are naturally clever, hard-working and virtuous.  </p>
<p>This arbitrary division of society, and the use of property and wealth to identify and distinguish between the worthy and the unworthy<br />
is fascism.  It is not fascism based on aristocratic birth, or race, or nationalism, or religion, but on property and income.</p>
<p>No one is saying economic freedom demands that everyone have the same property and income, the same wealth.  Economic freedom means everyone has the same opportunity.  People should be rewarded in proportion to what they produce.  They should not be rewarded for what they accumulated.</p>
<p>I will be the first to concede that these remarks are overly simplified, perhaps even somewhat exaggerated.  But then again, so is the simplistic nonsense that &#8220;supply and demand&#8221; and the &#8220;invisible hand&#8221; will solve all our problems if we just leave the market to regulate itself.  As Piketty remarks, in page 20 of his introduction,</p>
<blockquote><p>What are the major conclusions to which these novel historical sources have led me?  The first is that one should be very wary of any economic determinism in regard to inequalities of wealth and income. The history of the distribution of wealth has always been deeply political, and it cannot be reduced to purely economic mechanisms.  In particular, the reduction of inequality that took place in most developed countries between 1910 and 1950 was above all a consequence of war and of policies adopted to cope with the shocks of war.  Similarly, the resurgence of inequality after <strong>1980</strong> is due largely to the political shifts of the past several decades, especially in regard to taxation and finance. The history of inequality is shaped by the way economic, social and political actors view what is just and what is not, as well as by the relative power of those actors and the collective choices that result. It is the joint product of all relevant actors combined.</p>
<p>The second conclusion, which is the heart of the book, is that the dynamics of wealth distribution reveal powerful mechanisms pushing alternatively toward convergence and divergence [concentration vs distribution of wealth].  Furthermore, there is no natural, spontaneous process to prevent destabilizing, inegalitarian forces from prevailing permanently.</p></blockquote>
<p>Hmmm.  I wonder what happened in 1980&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: bowser</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34879</link>
		<dc:creator>bowser</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jan 2016 05:20:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34879</guid>
		<description>Admits to nothing but contemporary capitalist brainwashing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Admits to nothing but contemporary capitalist brainwashing.</p>
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		<title>By: mcfly</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34877</link>
		<dc:creator>mcfly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 02 Jan 2016 03:39:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34877</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t want to believe that I&#039;d let such good writing trickle from my memory. If I have read it before, then this speaks to my shortcomings, not yours.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t want to believe that I&#8217;d let such good writing trickle from my memory. If I have read it before, then this speaks to my shortcomings, not yours.</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34873</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2016 20:38:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34873</guid>
		<description>You forgot to mention Tricky Ricardo. 8)

They&#039;ll do anything they have to in order to discredit Piketty.  Not necessarily because he puts the lie to all their entrepreneurial fantasies, but because he has the audacity to claim that they might be fantasies.

Its something that never really occurred to them, and that they have no answer for.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You forgot to mention Tricky Ricardo. <img src='https://habitablezone.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>They&#8217;ll do anything they have to in order to discredit Piketty.  Not necessarily because he puts the lie to all their entrepreneurial fantasies, but because he has the audacity to claim that they might be fantasies.</p>
<p>Its something that never really occurred to them, and that they have no answer for.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34872</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2016 20:07:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34872</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m pretty sure you&#039;re right they didn&#039;t get past the introduction, because the chief objection of sceptics cited was something Piketty did address: The changing source of wealth from passive (income on interest) to active: The phenomenally high salaries of CEOs and entertainers and sportsballers. (Spoiler: They invest their salaries in long-term wealth, resulting in the same end. Because duh all wealth originally came from somewhere, before it started compounding.)

Yet The Economist called Piketty &quot;the modern Marx&quot;. I was so impressed by Piketty&#039;s analytical data-based approach that I had mentally already added him to the pantheon of Smith, Marx, and Keynes. 

Economics is still by nature a branch of sociology, and thus possessed of many cognitive limits. The one I find most worrisome is the faith that something fundamental in human nature will never change and if you build it, they will always come. Or if you make it, they will always buy it. But what if people become jaded with possessions for the pleasure of ownership? What if the winds of cultural fashion start blowing in a more spiritual direction? 

What if technology diminishes the need for material possessions, at the same time it concentrates wealth at the top? Consider the smartphone: Buy one, and never again buy a camera, still or video, a telephone, a television, book, magazine and newspaper reader, or music player.

Technology advances and for less money you have all the functionality of stuff you had before, so you&#039;re OK, as are the people who made your smartphone. But the people who made all those other things are now fearing for their own survival. (Disclosure: Got my first smartphone yesterday. Ironic, isn&#039;t it?)

Piketty didn&#039;t really address that angle of inequality growth, but it is a factor. It&#039;s a specialized part of the broader trend of people working more productively yet the benefits flow mainly to the top. Intellectual capital owned by the wealthy generates tangible wealth for the wealthy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m pretty sure you&#8217;re right they didn&#8217;t get past the introduction, because the chief objection of sceptics cited was something Piketty did address: The changing source of wealth from passive (income on interest) to active: The phenomenally high salaries of CEOs and entertainers and sportsballers. (Spoiler: They invest their salaries in long-term wealth, resulting in the same end. Because duh all wealth originally came from somewhere, before it started compounding.)</p>
<p>Yet The Economist called Piketty &#8220;the modern Marx&#8221;. I was so impressed by Piketty&#8217;s analytical data-based approach that I had mentally already added him to the pantheon of Smith, Marx, and Keynes. </p>
<p>Economics is still by nature a branch of sociology, and thus possessed of many cognitive limits. The one I find most worrisome is the faith that something fundamental in human nature will never change and if you build it, they will always come. Or if you make it, they will always buy it. But what if people become jaded with possessions for the pleasure of ownership? What if the winds of cultural fashion start blowing in a more spiritual direction? </p>
<p>What if technology diminishes the need for material possessions, at the same time it concentrates wealth at the top? Consider the smartphone: Buy one, and never again buy a camera, still or video, a telephone, a television, book, magazine and newspaper reader, or music player.</p>
<p>Technology advances and for less money you have all the functionality of stuff you had before, so you&#8217;re OK, as are the people who made your smartphone. But the people who made all those other things are now fearing for their own survival. (Disclosure: Got my first smartphone yesterday. Ironic, isn&#8217;t it?)</p>
<p>Piketty didn&#8217;t really address that angle of inequality growth, but it is a factor. It&#8217;s a specialized part of the broader trend of people working more productively yet the benefits flow mainly to the top. Intellectual capital owned by the wealthy generates tangible wealth for the wealthy.</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34871</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2016 17:17:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34871</guid>
		<description>is somewhat ideologically biased (as you might expect), but is nevertheless quite fair (which you might not).  I&#039;ve just finished Picketty&#039;s 35 page Introduction, and I suspect that&#039;s about as far as the Economist got.

Like all work in the social sciences, it is impossible to really evaluate objectively.  We are all faced with the same data, and we all interpret it through the filter of our own experience and prejudices.  I gave up a long time using adjectives like &quot;right&quot; or &quot;wrong&quot; to assign to history, politics, economics, even geography (a social science in which I have some modest formal training, and a long and tedious familiarity with its methodological feuds and philosophical controversies).  All you can really hope for is insight, to see how another mind interprets reality, and to incorporate its insights, and perhaps its errors, into one&#039;s own interpretation.

So far, I trust Picketty&#039;s insight, although I must confess I base that trust on little evidence.  Here&#039;s one thing Picketty says (p. 31) that leads me to extend that trust.



&lt;blockquote&gt;&quot;I belong to a generation that turned eighteen in 1989, which was not only the bicentennial of the French Revolution, but also the year when the Berlin Wall fell. I belong to a generation that came of age listening to news of the collapse of the Communist dictatorships and never felt the slightest affection or nostalgia for those regimes or for the Soviet Union. I was vaccinated for life against the conventional but lazy rhetoric of anticapitalism, some of which simply ignored the historic failure of Communism and much of which turned its back on the intellectual means necessary to push beyond it.&quot;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;


And even though Picketty is a few years younger than I am, I have to admit those remarks pretty much sum up my own feelings.  I am looking forward to examining his arguments in detail.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>is somewhat ideologically biased (as you might expect), but is nevertheless quite fair (which you might not).  I&#8217;ve just finished Picketty&#8217;s 35 page Introduction, and I suspect that&#8217;s about as far as the Economist got.</p>
<p>Like all work in the social sciences, it is impossible to really evaluate objectively.  We are all faced with the same data, and we all interpret it through the filter of our own experience and prejudices.  I gave up a long time using adjectives like &#8220;right&#8221; or &#8220;wrong&#8221; to assign to history, politics, economics, even geography (a social science in which I have some modest formal training, and a long and tedious familiarity with its methodological feuds and philosophical controversies).  All you can really hope for is insight, to see how another mind interprets reality, and to incorporate its insights, and perhaps its errors, into one&#8217;s own interpretation.</p>
<p>So far, I trust Picketty&#8217;s insight, although I must confess I base that trust on little evidence.  Here&#8217;s one thing Picketty says (p. 31) that leads me to extend that trust.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I belong to a generation that turned eighteen in 1989, which was not only the bicentennial of the French Revolution, but also the year when the Berlin Wall fell. I belong to a generation that came of age listening to news of the collapse of the Communist dictatorships and never felt the slightest affection or nostalgia for those regimes or for the Soviet Union. I was vaccinated for life against the conventional but lazy rhetoric of anticapitalism, some of which simply ignored the historic failure of Communism and much of which turned its back on the intellectual means necessary to push beyond it.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
<p>And even though Picketty is a few years younger than I am, I have to admit those remarks pretty much sum up my own feelings.  I am looking forward to examining his arguments in detail.</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34869</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2016 03:21:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34869</guid>
		<description>I must be getting old, I&#039;m running out of things to say.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I must be getting old, I&#8217;m running out of things to say.</p>
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		<title>By: Robert</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34867</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2016 01:34:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34867</guid>
		<description>I wouldn&#039;t call the milestone arbitrary, since it&#039;s tied to the real orbit of our planet. But of course we really should be celebrating on the solstice, Dec. 21s. Then we could claim to be rational because geometry.

Been a hell of a year, ER. mcfly&#039;s dreaming to hope for a politics-free 2016, and I doubt we&#039;ll see politics get any more civilized. So let&#039;s just resolve to march arm-in-arm into the New Year determined that nil conservatismus illegitimi carborundum!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wouldn&#8217;t call the milestone arbitrary, since it&#8217;s tied to the real orbit of our planet. But of course we really should be celebrating on the solstice, Dec. 21s. Then we could claim to be rational because geometry.</p>
<p>Been a hell of a year, ER. mcfly&#8217;s dreaming to hope for a politics-free 2016, and I doubt we&#8217;ll see politics get any more civilized. So let&#8217;s just resolve to march arm-in-arm into the New Year determined that nil conservatismus illegitimi carborundum!</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: mcfly</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34866</link>
		<dc:creator>mcfly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2016 00:22:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34866</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s a damn fine essay.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s a damn fine essay.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2015/12/31/happy-new-year-3/#comment-34864</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 Dec 2015 20:55:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=54298#comment-34864</guid>
		<description>Its long been my conviction that all Economics is ideological.  It isn&#039;t an attempt to figure out how economies work, its either an attack on or a justification of the economy we&#039;ve got. The very fact that all economists since Marx have either been Marxist or Capitalist convinces me of that. I don&#039;t think Piketty is any different.  But many economists have contributed to our overall understanding of how economies work, and how they should be controlled and regulated.  

Of course, our free enterprise apologists claim that they should never be controlled or regulated, but that&#039;s because they are already doing exactly that, to their benefit and profit. That&#039;s why they are called Conservatives, they  wish to conserve things the way they are, only more so.  Economics is a branch of politics, but it also seems to operate on its own internal dynamic, one which is neither from Adam Smith or Karl Marx.  People don&#039;t realize it, but Marx himself never criticized Smith, and quoted him extensively.  And Smith, of course, has riddled his writings with cautions about the inherent larceny of Capitalists.

I&#039;ve just started Piketty, here is from page 1 of his Introduction:


&lt;blockquote&gt;
&quot;Modern economic growth and the diffusion of knowledge have made it possible to avoid the Marxist apocalypse but have not modified the deep structures of capital and inequality--or in any case, not as much as one might have imagined in the optimistic decades following World War II.  &lt;strong&gt;When the rate of return on capital exceeds the rate of growth of output and income, as it did in the nineteenth century and seems quite likely to do again in the twenty-first, capitalism automatically generates arbitrary and unsustainable inequalities that radically undermine the meritocratic values on which democratic societies are based.&lt;/strong&gt; [emphasis my own]. There are nevertheless ways democracy can regain control over capitalism and ensure that the general interest takes precedence over private interests, while preserving economic openness and avoiding protectionist and nationalist reactions.&quot;&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This explains the instantaneous objection by Capital to even the suggestion of regulation or supervision by democratic institutions.

I myself must confess I reached similar conclusions some time ago.  Remember this?

&lt;strong&gt;The Bell-Shaped Curve
&lt;/strong&gt;
&lt;em&gt;It&#039;s not just in our society and time, but in any civilization and age, being rich has always been considered an advantage over being poor.  Wealth, whether you define it as having many possessions, the means of acquiring more possessions (money), or an income guaranteeing those conditions in the future, has always been considered a laudable goal.  It is understood that wealth  is neither a necessary nor sufficient condition to secure happiness, but it is also accepted that it helps to have the former to achieve the latter.  Wealth is a great aid in realizing security, comfort, power, and even self-actualization; even if it is conceded that it isn&#039;t the only way, it is also obvious that it helps.

Wealth can be acquired by inheritance, crime, luck, and by hard work--that is, by efficiently contributing to society those things which society is willing to pay for.  This is the paradigm which is currently accepted in our contemporary meritocracy.  We feel the major means of acquiring wealth is to do something which the society wants or needs, and which it is willing to donate its wealth to you in order to get it, even if your contribution is only your labor.  It is further assumed that the ability to do this is facilitated by such psychological attributes as intelligence, ambition, perserverance, industry, courage, creativity and all the other values our society holds in such high esteem.  The corollary to this is that if you have wealth, you must also possess these characteristics. I hope to show below that this is not necessarily the case.  I also believe that one other characteristic also plays a role: luck. It doesn&#039;t matter how blessed you are with these virtues, getting hit by a meteor during surgery can definitely be a setback.  And winning the lottery can be advantageous at times as well.

But luck, like all those other characteristics, is distributed randomly through the population, as well as through time in any one person.  There are also smart people, dim people, and many in between, and it is safe to say that all those other  virtues which lead to wealth are also randomly distributed through the population, as are height, weight, and the ability to metabolize some proteins.  Some of us are better than others, and most of us are somewhere in between.  Our ability to accumulate wealth must then also be randomly distributed throughout the population, there are a few of us that don&#039;t have it, a few that have it in spades, and a vast middle ground with varying amounts of it.  The ability for each individual may also vary as a function of time, but the integrated result for an entire population will still be randomly distributed. The statistical jargon for this is a normal distribution, which can be represented as the famous bell-shaped curve, with a small lower and high end and a big hump in the middle where the average individual is most likely to be located. Adding up all these characteristics will yield another bell-shaped curve, indicating the probability distribution of the sum of all of these virtues.  Even if some of those characteristics I mentioned are not distributed normally, their sum should be, because variations in the individual contributions of each attribute will have a tendency to cancel out.

It can be argued that those human characteristics we identified above can also be self-generated, that is, we aren&#039;t necessarily born courageous or lazy, but we can do something about it and change ourselves to be more or less so.  Even intelligence can be cultivated and improved through education, and the effects of  luck can certainly be mitigated through prudence and preparation and a good insurance policy.  But the fact remains, some of us will do this more than others, and the ability to transcend our limitations will also be normally distributed through the population, whether it be an inborn attribute, a result of personal effort, a combination of effects or...just luck. 

If we accept these assumptions, it must follow that the distribution of wealth in any society must also be normally distributed, since the ability to acquire it is distributed in that fashion. If it is not, then there is something wrong.  Here is where we have the ability to test our assumptions with observation, and I don&#039;t have to tell you that wealth is NOT distributed normally, the vast bulk of people in most human societies have been very poor, and the rich have been very few.  Furthermore, the number of those in between is often lower than either of the two extremes.  Most societies in history simply did not have a middle class.  The curve is generally a huge peak at the low end which rapidly drops off as wealth, however we decide to define it, increases.  In most human societies, the vast amount of the total resources have belonged to the few. At the very least, the amount of  resources each individual controls increases very quickly to the right of the curve.  The preceding two sentences do not say the same thing mathematically, the former refers to the fraction of total resources, the second addresses the amount of individual-owned resources, but the trends are the same in either case.

It is clear then, that for most human societies, wealth is not distributed in the same way that the ability to accumulate wealth is distributed.  One of our two assumptions is incorrect; either the abilities to accumulate riches are not normally distributed, or that  those virtues we identified earlier have little to do with the acquisition of wealth. Fortunately, historical examples allow us to probe these hypotheses by comparing different communities, and by studying how they evolve over time.

It is difficult to gather economic statistics through historiography or archaeological investigation, but we all have a general idea of how wealth is distributed in most historical examples:  the poor vastly outnumber the rich, and the rich are very, very rich in comparison to the poor.  It is also safe to conclude that in recent history, this profile has started to change, with the numbers of the poor decreasing and the middle classes growing in size, either through technological change or the introduction of increasingly democratic institutions.  I also believe the introduction of capitalism has played a major role in this process of the redistribution of wealth. The bulge of the curve has moved to the right, and the tails at either end have become closer in both size and in the area under the curve.  Nowhere do we have a perfect bell-shaped curve for distribution of wealth, but the improvements in recent history have been dramatic, and hopefully they are indicators of a trend that will continue into the future.  What&#039;s more, this trend suggests that the amount of wealth we control IS correlated with our intelligence, ambition, etc. and that the closer the curve progresses to a fully normal, bell-shaped distribution the more equitable it is and the more desirable it is.  It also implies that societies should pursue policies which encourage this development, and that existing policies should constantly be reviewed to determine if they are enabling this result.  Most important, it argues that reversal of these trends are to be viewed with alarm, and steps should be taken to determine why they are occurring and what can be done to prevent them.  Perhaps a regression to a left-biased or poorly-skewed distribution is the result of unavoidable and uncontrollable economic circumstances, but it is nevertheless a dangerous development which demands scrutiny and explanation.  We should never take it for granted and we should always be suspicious that it is a deliberately engineered event.

If the wealth of a society is not distributed normally, if the rich and the poor are not both in the minority, and those in the middle not in the majority, something is wrong: there is a fundamental inequity in that society.  Not only should the group with intermediate wealth be the largest, it should also possess the greatest total assets, with both numbers and total assets dropping off as we consider both left (poor) and rich (right). Both the wealth distribution in the most economically humane communities suggest this, and the general trend of historical development as well. Human societies are not tuned machines, and it would be naive to expect mathematical symmetry in the wealth distribution for any civilization, but the general shape of that normal curve must be present if there is to be economic justice, and its shape and symmetry must always continue to approach that ideal if there is to be economic progress.


&lt;/em&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Its long been my conviction that all Economics is ideological.  It isn&#8217;t an attempt to figure out how economies work, its either an attack on or a justification of the economy we&#8217;ve got. The very fact that all economists since Marx have either been Marxist or Capitalist convinces me of that. I don&#8217;t think Piketty is any different.  But many economists have contributed to our overall understanding of how economies work, and how they should be controlled and regulated.  </p>
<p>Of course, our free enterprise apologists claim that they should never be controlled or regulated, but that&#8217;s because they are already doing exactly that, to their benefit and profit. That&#8217;s why they are called Conservatives, they  wish to conserve things the way they are, only more so.  Economics is a branch of politics, but it also seems to operate on its own internal dynamic, one which is neither from Adam Smith or Karl Marx.  People don&#8217;t realize it, but Marx himself never criticized Smith, and quoted him extensively.  And Smith, of course, has riddled his writings with cautions about the inherent larceny of Capitalists.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve just started Piketty, here is from page 1 of his Introduction:</p>
<blockquote><p>
&#8220;Modern economic growth and the diffusion of knowledge have made it possible to avoid the Marxist apocalypse but have not modified the deep structures of capital and inequality&#8211;or in any case, not as much as one might have imagined in the optimistic decades following World War II.  <strong>When the rate of return on capital exceeds the rate of growth of output and income, as it did in the nineteenth century and seems quite likely to do again in the twenty-first, capitalism automatically generates arbitrary and unsustainable inequalities that radically undermine the meritocratic values on which democratic societies are based.</strong> [emphasis my own]. There are nevertheless ways democracy can regain control over capitalism and ensure that the general interest takes precedence over private interests, while preserving economic openness and avoiding protectionist and nationalist reactions.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>This explains the instantaneous objection by Capital to even the suggestion of regulation or supervision by democratic institutions.</p>
<p>I myself must confess I reached similar conclusions some time ago.  Remember this?</p>
<p><strong>The Bell-Shaped Curve<br />
</strong><br />
<em>It&#8217;s not just in our society and time, but in any civilization and age, being rich has always been considered an advantage over being poor.  Wealth, whether you define it as having many possessions, the means of acquiring more possessions (money), or an income guaranteeing those conditions in the future, has always been considered a laudable goal.  It is understood that wealth  is neither a necessary nor sufficient condition to secure happiness, but it is also accepted that it helps to have the former to achieve the latter.  Wealth is a great aid in realizing security, comfort, power, and even self-actualization; even if it is conceded that it isn&#8217;t the only way, it is also obvious that it helps.</p>
<p>Wealth can be acquired by inheritance, crime, luck, and by hard work&#8211;that is, by efficiently contributing to society those things which society is willing to pay for.  This is the paradigm which is currently accepted in our contemporary meritocracy.  We feel the major means of acquiring wealth is to do something which the society wants or needs, and which it is willing to donate its wealth to you in order to get it, even if your contribution is only your labor.  It is further assumed that the ability to do this is facilitated by such psychological attributes as intelligence, ambition, perserverance, industry, courage, creativity and all the other values our society holds in such high esteem.  The corollary to this is that if you have wealth, you must also possess these characteristics. I hope to show below that this is not necessarily the case.  I also believe that one other characteristic also plays a role: luck. It doesn&#8217;t matter how blessed you are with these virtues, getting hit by a meteor during surgery can definitely be a setback.  And winning the lottery can be advantageous at times as well.</p>
<p>But luck, like all those other characteristics, is distributed randomly through the population, as well as through time in any one person.  There are also smart people, dim people, and many in between, and it is safe to say that all those other  virtues which lead to wealth are also randomly distributed through the population, as are height, weight, and the ability to metabolize some proteins.  Some of us are better than others, and most of us are somewhere in between.  Our ability to accumulate wealth must then also be randomly distributed throughout the population, there are a few of us that don&#8217;t have it, a few that have it in spades, and a vast middle ground with varying amounts of it.  The ability for each individual may also vary as a function of time, but the integrated result for an entire population will still be randomly distributed. The statistical jargon for this is a normal distribution, which can be represented as the famous bell-shaped curve, with a small lower and high end and a big hump in the middle where the average individual is most likely to be located. Adding up all these characteristics will yield another bell-shaped curve, indicating the probability distribution of the sum of all of these virtues.  Even if some of those characteristics I mentioned are not distributed normally, their sum should be, because variations in the individual contributions of each attribute will have a tendency to cancel out.</p>
<p>It can be argued that those human characteristics we identified above can also be self-generated, that is, we aren&#8217;t necessarily born courageous or lazy, but we can do something about it and change ourselves to be more or less so.  Even intelligence can be cultivated and improved through education, and the effects of  luck can certainly be mitigated through prudence and preparation and a good insurance policy.  But the fact remains, some of us will do this more than others, and the ability to transcend our limitations will also be normally distributed through the population, whether it be an inborn attribute, a result of personal effort, a combination of effects or&#8230;just luck. </p>
<p>If we accept these assumptions, it must follow that the distribution of wealth in any society must also be normally distributed, since the ability to acquire it is distributed in that fashion. If it is not, then there is something wrong.  Here is where we have the ability to test our assumptions with observation, and I don&#8217;t have to tell you that wealth is NOT distributed normally, the vast bulk of people in most human societies have been very poor, and the rich have been very few.  Furthermore, the number of those in between is often lower than either of the two extremes.  Most societies in history simply did not have a middle class.  The curve is generally a huge peak at the low end which rapidly drops off as wealth, however we decide to define it, increases.  In most human societies, the vast amount of the total resources have belonged to the few. At the very least, the amount of  resources each individual controls increases very quickly to the right of the curve.  The preceding two sentences do not say the same thing mathematically, the former refers to the fraction of total resources, the second addresses the amount of individual-owned resources, but the trends are the same in either case.</p>
<p>It is clear then, that for most human societies, wealth is not distributed in the same way that the ability to accumulate wealth is distributed.  One of our two assumptions is incorrect; either the abilities to accumulate riches are not normally distributed, or that  those virtues we identified earlier have little to do with the acquisition of wealth. Fortunately, historical examples allow us to probe these hypotheses by comparing different communities, and by studying how they evolve over time.</p>
<p>It is difficult to gather economic statistics through historiography or archaeological investigation, but we all have a general idea of how wealth is distributed in most historical examples:  the poor vastly outnumber the rich, and the rich are very, very rich in comparison to the poor.  It is also safe to conclude that in recent history, this profile has started to change, with the numbers of the poor decreasing and the middle classes growing in size, either through technological change or the introduction of increasingly democratic institutions.  I also believe the introduction of capitalism has played a major role in this process of the redistribution of wealth. The bulge of the curve has moved to the right, and the tails at either end have become closer in both size and in the area under the curve.  Nowhere do we have a perfect bell-shaped curve for distribution of wealth, but the improvements in recent history have been dramatic, and hopefully they are indicators of a trend that will continue into the future.  What&#8217;s more, this trend suggests that the amount of wealth we control IS correlated with our intelligence, ambition, etc. and that the closer the curve progresses to a fully normal, bell-shaped distribution the more equitable it is and the more desirable it is.  It also implies that societies should pursue policies which encourage this development, and that existing policies should constantly be reviewed to determine if they are enabling this result.  Most important, it argues that reversal of these trends are to be viewed with alarm, and steps should be taken to determine why they are occurring and what can be done to prevent them.  Perhaps a regression to a left-biased or poorly-skewed distribution is the result of unavoidable and uncontrollable economic circumstances, but it is nevertheless a dangerous development which demands scrutiny and explanation.  We should never take it for granted and we should always be suspicious that it is a deliberately engineered event.</p>
<p>If the wealth of a society is not distributed normally, if the rich and the poor are not both in the minority, and those in the middle not in the majority, something is wrong: there is a fundamental inequity in that society.  Not only should the group with intermediate wealth be the largest, it should also possess the greatest total assets, with both numbers and total assets dropping off as we consider both left (poor) and rich (right). Both the wealth distribution in the most economically humane communities suggest this, and the general trend of historical development as well. Human societies are not tuned machines, and it would be naive to expect mathematical symmetry in the wealth distribution for any civilization, but the general shape of that normal curve must be present if there is to be economic justice, and its shape and symmetry must always continue to approach that ideal if there is to be economic progress.</p>
<p></em></p>
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