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	<title>Comments on: Good luck with Matthew,  ER</title>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37579</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Oct 2016 22:21:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37579</guid>
		<description>Just for the record, my old boss made it back to his house on Melbourne Beach and found absolutely no damage.  His neighbors even reported that the power had stayed on the whole time without interruption. Dave reported that the beach and dunes seemed to be in excellent condition as well.  The only work he needed to do on his house was to clear leaves and debris off his yard and the pool.

While driving down to his place Dave reported the mainland had extensive damage, and the lagoon between the barrier island and mainland was filled with debris and trashed boats, and piers, docks and other structures showed damage.  Large sections of town had no power.  But his place seemed untouched.   Go figure.

Dave called me from his sickbed.  Right after he got home, he came down with a severe urinary tract infection.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just for the record, my old boss made it back to his house on Melbourne Beach and found absolutely no damage.  His neighbors even reported that the power had stayed on the whole time without interruption. Dave reported that the beach and dunes seemed to be in excellent condition as well.  The only work he needed to do on his house was to clear leaves and debris off his yard and the pool.</p>
<p>While driving down to his place Dave reported the mainland had extensive damage, and the lagoon between the barrier island and mainland was filled with debris and trashed boats, and piers, docks and other structures showed damage.  Large sections of town had no power.  But his place seemed untouched.   Go figure.</p>
<p>Dave called me from his sickbed.  Right after he got home, he came down with a severe urinary tract infection.</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37540</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Oct 2016 02:11:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37540</guid>
		<description>Although the eye was about 100 miles east of us. Maybe that had something to do with it...OTOH, it pretty much trashed the Bahamas island chain as it churned its way up that archipelago.

Still, there is more wind and rain here now, at 10 PM, than there was when the storm made its closest approach to me several hours ago.  Hurricanes are very big, constantly changing, asymmetrical, and very complex systems with many moving parts. And they interact with their environment in subtle ways. No two are alike, and no one remains the same for very long.

I haven&#039;t heard Global Warming mentioned even once by the Evil Media or the Statist elites in relation to Matthew.  Actually, having spent most of my life in Florida, and been in or near what must be dozens of these storms, I&#039;m not aware of any differences, either in frequency, strength or path that could even be attributed with any certainty to climate change.

As far as I can tell, global warming has had no effect on hurricanes, even if it were possible to derive such a conclusion from the meager data available on historical records. This is, after all, a highly random phenomenon. We now have much better means of monitoring these storms, and of gathering data on them and their effects than we did in the past. In the 18th and 19th centuries there were probably many of these storms in remote areas that were never even noticed by Western geographers.   The increased damage they seem to be doing is probably due more to differences in reporting, settlement patterns, land use and population distribution than on the storms themselves.

Although it has been mentioned that global warming should increase hurricane activity, I have yet to hear any climatologists actually claiming it has.  The El Nino/La Nina phenomenon has been mentioned in connection to altering cyclone activity, but not AGW.

Drudge and Limbaugh seem to be desperate to rebut an argument no one seems to be making. The fact that the Right is so determined to debunk the AGW concept tells me that this is a lot more about them than it is about science. Its very reminiscent to the way fascists are constantly trying to deny the Holocaust, or explain to us how slavery in the American South really &quot;wasn&#039;t all that bad.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Although the eye was about 100 miles east of us. Maybe that had something to do with it&#8230;OTOH, it pretty much trashed the Bahamas island chain as it churned its way up that archipelago.</p>
<p>Still, there is more wind and rain here now, at 10 PM, than there was when the storm made its closest approach to me several hours ago.  Hurricanes are very big, constantly changing, asymmetrical, and very complex systems with many moving parts. And they interact with their environment in subtle ways. No two are alike, and no one remains the same for very long.</p>
<p>I haven&#8217;t heard Global Warming mentioned even once by the Evil Media or the Statist elites in relation to Matthew.  Actually, having spent most of my life in Florida, and been in or near what must be dozens of these storms, I&#8217;m not aware of any differences, either in frequency, strength or path that could even be attributed with any certainty to climate change.</p>
<p>As far as I can tell, global warming has had no effect on hurricanes, even if it were possible to derive such a conclusion from the meager data available on historical records. This is, after all, a highly random phenomenon. We now have much better means of monitoring these storms, and of gathering data on them and their effects than we did in the past. In the 18th and 19th centuries there were probably many of these storms in remote areas that were never even noticed by Western geographers.   The increased damage they seem to be doing is probably due more to differences in reporting, settlement patterns, land use and population distribution than on the storms themselves.</p>
<p>Although it has been mentioned that global warming should increase hurricane activity, I have yet to hear any climatologists actually claiming it has.  The El Nino/La Nina phenomenon has been mentioned in connection to altering cyclone activity, but not AGW.</p>
<p>Drudge and Limbaugh seem to be desperate to rebut an argument no one seems to be making. The fact that the Right is so determined to debunk the AGW concept tells me that this is a lot more about them than it is about science. Its very reminiscent to the way fascists are constantly trying to deny the Holocaust, or explain to us how slavery in the American South really &#8220;wasn&#8217;t all that bad.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37539</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Oct 2016 01:04:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37539</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/matt-drudge-hurricane-matthew-conspiracy_us_57f6badfe4b00885f2c6bbe3?section=&amp;&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/matt-drudge-hurricane-matthew-conspiracy_us_57f6badfe4b00885f2c6bbe3?section=&amp;&lt;/a&gt;

I wonder how this might diminish the number of Trump voters in Florida?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/matt-drudge-hurricane-matthew-conspiracy_us_57f6badfe4b00885f2c6bbe3?section=&amp;" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/matt-drudge-hurricane-matthew-conspiracy_us_57f6badfe4b00885f2c6bbe3?section=&#038;</a></p>
<p>I wonder how this might diminish the number of Trump voters in Florida?</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37536</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 23:56:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37536</guid>
		<description>My old boss isn&#039;t Muslim or a Sodomite, but he is a liberal atheist.  Still, his neighbors are mostly rich, retired Republican businessmen.  So maybe there is some justice in the Universe.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My old boss isn&#8217;t Muslim or a Sodomite, but he is a liberal atheist.  Still, his neighbors are mostly rich, retired Republican businessmen.  So maybe there is some justice in the Universe.</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37535</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 23:49:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37535</guid>
		<description>was visiting family in the Midwest and racing back to Florida when he called me day before yesterday from Tennessee.  He won&#039;t get back to his house before its all over.  I wonder if the causeway and bridge out to Melbourne Beach will still be there when he gets back.  There is only one way on and off the key.

Hopefully he&#039;ll get lucky like I did.  We were expecting to get hit much worse than we did.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>was visiting family in the Midwest and racing back to Florida when he called me day before yesterday from Tennessee.  He won&#8217;t get back to his house before its all over.  I wonder if the causeway and bridge out to Melbourne Beach will still be there when he gets back.  There is only one way on and off the key.</p>
<p>Hopefully he&#8217;ll get lucky like I did.  We were expecting to get hit much worse than we did.</p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37534</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 22:07:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37534</guid>
		<description>I went there several times for meetings, and was struck by how much had been built on that narrow strip...

I cant imagine what a 7&#039; storm surge would do there...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I went there several times for meetings, and was struck by how much had been built on that narrow strip&#8230;</p>
<p>I cant imagine what a 7&#8242; storm surge would do there&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37533</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 21:23:53 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Any news on how Melbourne fared?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Any news on how Melbourne fared?</p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37532</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 21:20:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37532</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://shoebat.com/2016/10/05/hurricane-matthew-is-the-wrath-of-god-poured-out-on-the-cities-of-orlando-and-savannah-for-supporting-the-evil-sodomites/&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Hurricane Matthew Is The Wrath Of God Poured Out On The Cities Of Orlando And Savannah For Supporting The Evil Sodomites&lt;/a&gt;

http://shoebat.com/2016/10/05/hurricane-matthew-is-the-wrath-of-god-poured-out-on-the-cities-of-orlando-and-savannah-for-supporting-the-evil-sodomites/

</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://shoebat.com/2016/10/05/hurricane-matthew-is-the-wrath-of-god-poured-out-on-the-cities-of-orlando-and-savannah-for-supporting-the-evil-sodomites/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Hurricane Matthew Is The Wrath Of God Poured Out On The Cities Of Orlando And Savannah For Supporting The Evil Sodomites</a></p>
<p><a href="http://shoebat.com/2016/10/05/hurricane-matthew-is-the-wrath-of-god-poured-out-on-the-cities-of-orlando-and-savannah-for-supporting-the-evil-sodomites/" rel="nofollow">http://shoebat.com/2016/10/05/hurricane-matthew-is-the-wrath-of-god-poured-out-on-the-cities-of-orlando-and-savannah-for-supporting-the-evil-sodomites/</a></p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37531</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 21:18:17 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>The eye of the storm is now N of me, and well offshore, so the emergency is over, for me at least.  But points further North along the coast are still at risk as the storm&#039;s path and the coast slowly converge. This is a powerful storm and if it makes landfall there is a potential for lots of property damage and loss of life.

S Florida got off easy, winds gusted up to 30 MPH and there was some rain, but we missed the worst of it.  I had a bad feeling about this one, but it looks like we&#039;ve dodged the bullet again..</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The eye of the storm is now N of me, and well offshore, so the emergency is over, for me at least.  But points further North along the coast are still at risk as the storm&#8217;s path and the coast slowly converge. This is a powerful storm and if it makes landfall there is a potential for lots of property damage and loss of life.</p>
<p>S Florida got off easy, winds gusted up to 30 MPH and there was some rain, but we missed the worst of it.  I had a bad feeling about this one, but it looks like we&#8217;ve dodged the bullet again..</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/04/good-luck-with-matthew-er/#comment-37530</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Oct 2016 19:35:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=59945#comment-37530</guid>
		<description>On Matthew&#039;s present course, and due to the strike of the coast, points further north are progressively more at risk.  I have a friend in Melbourne Beach (a barrier island) who will probably lose his house tonight.  He lives about 200 feet from the Atlantic, with only a few sparsely vegetated sand dunes and a two-lane blacktop between him and the Atlantic. A Cat 4 making landfall on top of him would be irresistible, no matter how much he prepared for it.

I&#039;m in much better shape, a masonry house 8 miles from the ocean, protected by a barrier island and I-95 and in an area not prone to inland flooding.  I have little to fear from storm surge, only high winds present a threat.  My house easily survived 80 MPH winds during Wilma, and I&#039;ve done much to upgrade the house&#039;s defenses since; new shutters, gutters, a new flat roof, outside doors and a garage door reinforcing strut.  Wilma ripped off my gutters and took out a rear window in my Sentra (the new car is in the garage), but did no other damage. Of course, a slight change in direction or strength on Matthew&#039;s part and all bets are off. A Category 4 storm can have winds up to 150 MPH near the eye wall.

My major worry is the tornadoes sometimes spawned by these hurricanes &quot;spiral arms&quot;.  Their effect is very localized, but if you&#039;re hit there is absolutely nothing you can do to protect yourself from them.  Andrew took out 900 homes in one neighborhood a couple of decades ago.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Matthew&#8217;s present course, and due to the strike of the coast, points further north are progressively more at risk.  I have a friend in Melbourne Beach (a barrier island) who will probably lose his house tonight.  He lives about 200 feet from the Atlantic, with only a few sparsely vegetated sand dunes and a two-lane blacktop between him and the Atlantic. A Cat 4 making landfall on top of him would be irresistible, no matter how much he prepared for it.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m in much better shape, a masonry house 8 miles from the ocean, protected by a barrier island and I-95 and in an area not prone to inland flooding.  I have little to fear from storm surge, only high winds present a threat.  My house easily survived 80 MPH winds during Wilma, and I&#8217;ve done much to upgrade the house&#8217;s defenses since; new shutters, gutters, a new flat roof, outside doors and a garage door reinforcing strut.  Wilma ripped off my gutters and took out a rear window in my Sentra (the new car is in the garage), but did no other damage. Of course, a slight change in direction or strength on Matthew&#8217;s part and all bets are off. A Category 4 storm can have winds up to 150 MPH near the eye wall.</p>
<p>My major worry is the tornadoes sometimes spawned by these hurricanes &#8220;spiral arms&#8221;.  Their effect is very localized, but if you&#8217;re hit there is absolutely nothing you can do to protect yourself from them.  Andrew took out 900 homes in one neighborhood a couple of decades ago.</p>
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