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	<title>Comments on: Is it time yet for a betting pool?</title>
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	<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/</link>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37637</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Oct 2016 02:11:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37637</guid>
		<description>A lot can happen in two weeks.... but my guess based on how it looks now:
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.270towin.com/maps/8XPZy&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;&lt;/a&gt; Click the map to create your own at &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.270towin.com/maps/8XPZy&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;270toWin.com&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A lot can happen in two weeks&#8230;. but my guess based on how it looks now:<br />
<a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/8XPZy" rel="nofollow"></a> Click the map to create your own at <a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/8XPZy" rel="nofollow">270toWin.com</a></p>
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		<title>By: Robert</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37634</link>
		<dc:creator>Robert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 19:22:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37634</guid>
		<description>No money is changing hands, as far as I know.

There&#039;s definitely an effect way down-ballot. Here in San Jose, the local races have long had a surface veneer of non-partisanship: No party affiliation, and mostly boiler-plate campaign literature.

Until this year. I&#039;m voting for the woman who had the integrity to plaster &quot;Democrat&quot; and cartoon donkeys all over her campaign flyer. She&#039;s not the only one running locally as a conspicuous Democrat. The brand suddenly has a lot of value, thanks to Donald Trump.

It&#039;s a reminder of the time long past when the political parties weren&#039;t so extremely-well-sorted ideologically, when you could talk sensibly of conservative Democrats and liberal Republicans. Maybe a positive result of Trumpism will be a resorting of the two parties along social lines, this time the angry white nationalists versus everybody else. Maybe the Democratic Party will be a giant circus tent for a few election cycles, riding a supermajority, until inevitably we return to rough parity between two parties, whatever they stand for by then.

Ever feel like Kirk and Spock trying to make sense of the shifting histories foretold by the tricorder in &lt;i&gt;City on the Edge of Forever&lt;/i&gt;?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No money is changing hands, as far as I know.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s definitely an effect way down-ballot. Here in San Jose, the local races have long had a surface veneer of non-partisanship: No party affiliation, and mostly boiler-plate campaign literature.</p>
<p>Until this year. I&#8217;m voting for the woman who had the integrity to plaster &#8220;Democrat&#8221; and cartoon donkeys all over her campaign flyer. She&#8217;s not the only one running locally as a conspicuous Democrat. The brand suddenly has a lot of value, thanks to Donald Trump.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a reminder of the time long past when the political parties weren&#8217;t so extremely-well-sorted ideologically, when you could talk sensibly of conservative Democrats and liberal Republicans. Maybe a positive result of Trumpism will be a resorting of the two parties along social lines, this time the angry white nationalists versus everybody else. Maybe the Democratic Party will be a giant circus tent for a few election cycles, riding a supermajority, until inevitably we return to rough parity between two parties, whatever they stand for by then.</p>
<p>Ever feel like Kirk and Spock trying to make sense of the shifting histories foretold by the tricorder in <i>City on the Edge of Forever</i>?</p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37633</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 16:39:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37633</guid>
		<description>The Cubs have a better chance of making it to the world series than Trump has of winning the presidency...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Cubs have a better chance of making it to the world series than Trump has of winning the presidency&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37632</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 04:25:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37632</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-there-are-4-ways-this-election-can-end-and-3-involve-clinton-winning/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-there-are-4-ways-this-election-can-end-and-3-involve-clinton-winning/&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-there-are-4-ways-this-election-can-end-and-3-involve-clinton-winning/" rel="nofollow">http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-there-are-4-ways-this-election-can-end-and-3-involve-clinton-winning/</a></p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37631</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 04:23:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37631</guid>
		<description>https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/789625104657514496?s=03</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/789625104657514496?s=03" rel="nofollow">https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/789625104657514496?s=03</a></p>
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		<title>By: RL</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37630</link>
		<dc:creator>RL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 04:14:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37630</guid>
		<description>Consider it Russian Roulette...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Consider it Russian Roulette&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: ER</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37629</link>
		<dc:creator>ER</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 02:29:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=60236#comment-37629</guid>
		<description>Perhaps the vote that really matters, and the one least affected by Donald&#039;s Deplorables and more of a barometer of the political winds (forgive the mixed metaphors) is the down-ballot vote.  What will the Senate look like this November?  And the House?  How about the Governors and the local races.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Perhaps the vote that really matters, and the one least affected by Donald&#8217;s Deplorables and more of a barometer of the political winds (forgive the mixed metaphors) is the down-ballot vote.  What will the Senate look like this November?  And the House?  How about the Governors and the local races.</p>
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		<title>By: SDG</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2016/10/22/is-it-time-yet-for-a-betting-pool/#comment-37628</link>
		<dc:creator>SDG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2016 01:54:55 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>37 is too optimistic for my taste, put me down for 44% Trump</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>37 is too optimistic for my taste, put me down for 44% Trump</p>
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