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Home » Space/Science

2 billion refugees by 2100, 1.4 billion by 2060 June 26, 2017 8:20 pm RL

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2017/06/170626105746.htm

Just from rising oceans

In the year 2100, 2 billion people — about one-fifth of the world’s population — could become climate change refugees due to rising ocean levels. Those who once lived on coastlines will face displacement and resettlement bottlenecks as they seek habitable places inland, according to Cornell University research.

“We’re going to have more people on less land and sooner that we think,” said lead author Charles Geisler, professor emeritus of development sociology at Cornell. “The future rise in global mean sea level probably won’t be gradual. Yet few policy makers are taking stock of the significant barriers to entry that coastal climate refugees, like other refugees, will encounter when they migrate to higher ground.”

Earth’s escalating population is expected to top 9 billion people by 2050 and climb to 11 billion people by 2100, according to a United Nations report. Feeding that population will require more arable land even as swelling oceans consume fertile coastal zones and river deltas, driving people to seek new places to dwell.

By 2060, about 1.4 billion people could be climate change refugees, according to the paper. Geisler extrapolated that number to 2 billion by 2100.

Add to that the refugees from large areas of the planet that will become too hot to live…

And those that lose water supply as glaciers melt away…

  • 9 billion by 2060, 11 billion by 2100? by hank 2017-06-29 16:22:06
    • UN Population forecast... by RL 2017-06-29 17:43:39
      • Ah, yes, the decline in fertility levels... by hank 2017-06-29 18:29:50

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