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	<title>Comments on: Arctic ice minimum fails to break record.</title>
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	<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/</link>
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		<title>By: hank</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40342</link>
		<dc:creator>hank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Oct 2017 12:44:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40342</guid>
		<description>But like snowmobile-towed GPR&#039;s, this data is patchy and incomplete, and isn&#039;t available on a daily basis.  

Who knows, maybe Congress will direct NOAA, NASA and EPA to launch a satellite to provide these measurements on a more regular basis.  8)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But like snowmobile-towed GPR&#8217;s, this data is patchy and incomplete, and isn&#8217;t available on a daily basis.  </p>
<p>Who knows, maybe Congress will direct NOAA, NASA and EPA to launch a satellite to provide these measurements on a more regular basis.  <img src='https://habitablezone.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: RobVG</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40337</link>
		<dc:creator>RobVG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Oct 2017 17:34:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40337</guid>
		<description>But I see what you&#039;re saying.
GPR&#039;s are also towed behind snow mobiles.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But I see what you&#8217;re saying.<br />
GPR&#8217;s are also towed behind snow mobiles.</p>
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		<title>By: hank</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40336</link>
		<dc:creator>hank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Oct 2017 17:19:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40336</guid>
		<description>Unfortunately, there is no way to do this effectively from a satellite.  Aircraft data is expensive and slow to collect, and limited in extent, and the ice changes faster than you can schedule flights over it; this is why it has to be interpolated and extrapolated into the ice-thickness models to come up with a meaningful estimate of overall ice thickness.  It is second-order data, useful, but not as dependable and reliable as other sensors on other platforms.

Only the ice extent sensors (IR radiometers)give you a real time look at the ice cover, day and night, even through clouds.  And they can cover the entire pole in just one 24 hour set of passes. The other data has to be assembled and interpreted, which the denialists use as an excuse to dismiss it altogether.  As for the area and ice extent info (which also has its drawbacks, like it has to be calibrated with ground truth measurements &lt;em&gt;in situ&lt;/em&gt;) well, they just ignore that.  They simply don&#039;t want to believe any of it, or (more likely) they believe it but don&#039;t want anyone else to believe it.  They are partisan propagandists. 

I hope you can see, Rob, why these people give RL and I such shivering fits. Its not because they disagree with us, its because they are lying to you.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unfortunately, there is no way to do this effectively from a satellite.  Aircraft data is expensive and slow to collect, and limited in extent, and the ice changes faster than you can schedule flights over it; this is why it has to be interpolated and extrapolated into the ice-thickness models to come up with a meaningful estimate of overall ice thickness.  It is second-order data, useful, but not as dependable and reliable as other sensors on other platforms.</p>
<p>Only the ice extent sensors (IR radiometers)give you a real time look at the ice cover, day and night, even through clouds.  And they can cover the entire pole in just one 24 hour set of passes. The other data has to be assembled and interpreted, which the denialists use as an excuse to dismiss it altogether.  As for the area and ice extent info (which also has its drawbacks, like it has to be calibrated with ground truth measurements <em>in situ</em>) well, they just ignore that.  They simply don&#8217;t want to believe any of it, or (more likely) they believe it but don&#8217;t want anyone else to believe it.  They are partisan propagandists. </p>
<p>I hope you can see, Rob, why these people give RL and I such shivering fits. Its not because they disagree with us, its because they are lying to you.</p>
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		<title>By: RobVG</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40333</link>
		<dc:creator>RobVG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Oct 2017 16:37:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40333</guid>
		<description>I wondered if ground penetrating radar was used and sure enough it is, along with drilling. GPR was used as early as 1929 to measure glaciers.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ground-penetrating_radar#History</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wondered if ground penetrating radar was used and sure enough it is, along with drilling. GPR was used as early as 1929 to measure glaciers.</p>
<p><a href="https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ground-penetrating_radar#History" rel="nofollow">https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ground-penetrating_radar#History</a></p>
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		<title>By: hank</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40326</link>
		<dc:creator>hank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Oct 2017 18:42:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40326</guid>
		<description>you can also have a situation with a lot of thick (old) ice over a small area, versus a lot of ice coverage of very thin (new) ice.  Thin ice is quick to form and quick to melt, and easily broken up and moved around by wind and wave action. Unfortunately, old and new ice look exactly the same in satellite imagery.

The surface ice area is easy to measure by satellite, but the thick, old or MYI (multi-year ice) has to be modeled from multiple data sources so the measurements aren&#039;t quite as reliable.  How the ice is divided into different types throughout the year also tells us something about the processes involved. And sometimes ponds of melt water ON the ice mislead the sensors, as do thick layers of porous, fluffy snow on top of pack ice.

The point is that the people who study this have lots of tools and lots of different ways to study it. They&#039;ve learned a great deal and they really care, they really want to understand this because not only is it interesting science, but it is so important to all of us.  You can see why we get so impatient with the denialists who dismiss it all as just another liberal conspiracy to raise taxes and regulate business. Taxes and regulation seem to be the only thing these people care about.

Check out the National Snow and Ice Data Center, JAXA (the Japanese Space Agency) and the Neven ice blog, which I often cite here and they will point you to other agencies and institutes and data sites that study this problem.  This is real, this is important, it really matters. They don&#039;t always agree, which is what you&#039;d expect in a developing field at the frontiers of knowledge.  The scientists DO agree that something BIG is happening to the Earth&#039;s climate but they are full of disagreement and debate as to just how it will play out. This is exactly as it should be in science. But at least they are &lt;em&gt;trying&lt;/em&gt; to get it right, not confuse the issue or change the subject altogether

You have to excuse me if I get a bit short-tempered with those who are doing every thing they can to discredit this work for purely political and economic reasons. They are simply unforgivable. They are no better than slavers, pimps, war criminals, drug lords, human traffikers, or arms merchants.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>you can also have a situation with a lot of thick (old) ice over a small area, versus a lot of ice coverage of very thin (new) ice.  Thin ice is quick to form and quick to melt, and easily broken up and moved around by wind and wave action. Unfortunately, old and new ice look exactly the same in satellite imagery.</p>
<p>The surface ice area is easy to measure by satellite, but the thick, old or MYI (multi-year ice) has to be modeled from multiple data sources so the measurements aren&#8217;t quite as reliable.  How the ice is divided into different types throughout the year also tells us something about the processes involved. And sometimes ponds of melt water ON the ice mislead the sensors, as do thick layers of porous, fluffy snow on top of pack ice.</p>
<p>The point is that the people who study this have lots of tools and lots of different ways to study it. They&#8217;ve learned a great deal and they really care, they really want to understand this because not only is it interesting science, but it is so important to all of us.  You can see why we get so impatient with the denialists who dismiss it all as just another liberal conspiracy to raise taxes and regulate business. Taxes and regulation seem to be the only thing these people care about.</p>
<p>Check out the National Snow and Ice Data Center, JAXA (the Japanese Space Agency) and the Neven ice blog, which I often cite here and they will point you to other agencies and institutes and data sites that study this problem.  This is real, this is important, it really matters. They don&#8217;t always agree, which is what you&#8217;d expect in a developing field at the frontiers of knowledge.  The scientists DO agree that something BIG is happening to the Earth&#8217;s climate but they are full of disagreement and debate as to just how it will play out. This is exactly as it should be in science. But at least they are <em>trying</em> to get it right, not confuse the issue or change the subject altogether</p>
<p>You have to excuse me if I get a bit short-tempered with those who are doing every thing they can to discredit this work for purely political and economic reasons. They are simply unforgivable. They are no better than slavers, pimps, war criminals, drug lords, human traffikers, or arms merchants.</p>
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		<title>By: RobVG</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40325</link>
		<dc:creator>RobVG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Oct 2017 15:04:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40325</guid>
		<description>I just asked if volume was measured and wasn&#039;t aware of the &#039;pile up&#039;. It seems like a safe assumption that volume decreases along with coverage.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just asked if volume was measured and wasn&#8217;t aware of the &#8216;pile up&#8217;. It seems like a safe assumption that volume decreases along with coverage.</p>
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		<title>By: podrock</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40322</link>
		<dc:creator>podrock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Oct 2017 03:09:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40322</guid>
		<description>a number of years ago, arctic winds had pushed the pack ice into some of the summer shipping lanes and narrow channels, interfering with navigation. The argument was being made that this was evidence that the pack ice was getting thicker and that the overall decline in ice was reversing. I made basically the same data based observation that hank has made on this board (far more eloquently than I have) that total coverage is a good data set that mirrors the volumetric data, which is more difficult to calculate, and since it is not always direct observation, is often subject to argument.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>a number of years ago, arctic winds had pushed the pack ice into some of the summer shipping lanes and narrow channels, interfering with navigation. The argument was being made that this was evidence that the pack ice was getting thicker and that the overall decline in ice was reversing. I made basically the same data based observation that hank has made on this board (far more eloquently than I have) that total coverage is a good data set that mirrors the volumetric data, which is more difficult to calculate, and since it is not always direct observation, is often subject to argument.</p>
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		<title>By: hank</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40319</link>
		<dc:creator>hank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2017 19:36:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40319</guid>
		<description>I just never brought it up because volume has to modeled based on a variety of different sensors.  Area is a direct measurement, you just count pixels in the imagery.  Volume has to be calculated and a lot of assumptions have to be made.

Denialists have never accepted volume figures because they claim the models are all rigged by Liberal scientists, that the assumptions are all phony, so I never used those figures until recently when I started publishing PIOMAS data here.  I only use the sea ice extent (SIE) graphs because they are clear, unambiguous, and undenialble. (SIE = area of ocean with at least 15% ice cover.) However, that is not the only dataset that&#039;s out there, its just the most convincing one.

Of course, the denialists never accepted the SIE figures either... They, like creationists, refuse to believe the science for religious reasons. I guess they have just convinced themselves that if AGW goes away they&#039;ll get their nice job at the coal mine back.  Sorry for the snark, but I&#039;ve been very depressed and very angry lately, and that&#039;s not a good combination.

Neven&#039;s ice blog keeps track of the monthly PIOMAS volume report.  Here are the September figures and chart.  Follow the links to the PIOMAS website and see the whole report. As you can see, volume didn&#039;t go below the 2012 SIE record either, but the comparison with the last few years and the averages tells the same sad story. Volume doesn&#039;t track SIE perfectly, but its pretty close.

http://neven1.typepad.com/.a/6a0133f03a1e37970b01b8d2a83128970c-800wi

&lt;img src=&quot;http://neven1.typepad.com/.a/6a0133f03a1e37970b01b8d2a83128970c-800wi&quot; alt=&quot;.&quot; /&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I just never brought it up because volume has to modeled based on a variety of different sensors.  Area is a direct measurement, you just count pixels in the imagery.  Volume has to be calculated and a lot of assumptions have to be made.</p>
<p>Denialists have never accepted volume figures because they claim the models are all rigged by Liberal scientists, that the assumptions are all phony, so I never used those figures until recently when I started publishing PIOMAS data here.  I only use the sea ice extent (SIE) graphs because they are clear, unambiguous, and undenialble. (SIE = area of ocean with at least 15% ice cover.) However, that is not the only dataset that&#8217;s out there, its just the most convincing one.</p>
<p>Of course, the denialists never accepted the SIE figures either&#8230; They, like creationists, refuse to believe the science for religious reasons. I guess they have just convinced themselves that if AGW goes away they&#8217;ll get their nice job at the coal mine back.  Sorry for the snark, but I&#8217;ve been very depressed and very angry lately, and that&#8217;s not a good combination.</p>
<p>Neven&#8217;s ice blog keeps track of the monthly PIOMAS volume report.  Here are the September figures and chart.  Follow the links to the PIOMAS website and see the whole report. As you can see, volume didn&#8217;t go below the 2012 SIE record either, but the comparison with the last few years and the averages tells the same sad story. Volume doesn&#8217;t track SIE perfectly, but its pretty close.</p>
<p><a href="http://neven1.typepad.com/.a/6a0133f03a1e37970b01b8d2a83128970c-800wi" rel="nofollow">http://neven1.typepad.com/.a/6a0133f03a1e37970b01b8d2a83128970c-800wi</a></p>
<p><img src="http://neven1.typepad.com/.a/6a0133f03a1e37970b01b8d2a83128970c-800wi" alt="." /></p>
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		<title>By: RobVG</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40318</link>
		<dc:creator>RobVG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Oct 2017 16:02:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40318</guid>
		<description>Years ago I asked if they measured volume. I believe the answer was no.I think pod was in on that. Adding volume gives a clearer picture of what&#039;s going on.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Years ago I asked if they measured volume. I believe the answer was no.I think pod was in on that. Adding volume gives a clearer picture of what&#8217;s going on.</p>
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		<title>By: hank</title>
		<link>https://habitablezone.com/2017/09/29/arctic-ice-minimum-fails-to-break-record/#comment-40317</link>
		<dc:creator>hank</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Oct 2017 18:11:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.habitablezone.com/?p=67003#comment-40317</guid>
		<description>http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2017/10/monthly_ice_09_NH_v2.1-350x270.png

Its not as low as some previous September minima, but its still lower than&lt;em&gt; all&lt;/em&gt; the maxima.  The beat goes on, and the trend continues.  Don&#039;t fall for the denialist mantra; &quot;The Arctic ice is recovering&quot; just because the record low ice was five years ago.  But the record is broken, nonetheless, about every five years on the average.  Check out the graph, see for yourself. The decline, some say collapse, of the N polar icecap continues unabated.

&lt;img src=&quot;http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2017/10/monthly_ice_09_NH_v2.1-350x270.png&quot; alt=&quot;.&quot; /&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2017/10/monthly_ice_09_NH_v2.1-350x270.png" rel="nofollow">http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2017/10/monthly_ice_09_NH_v2.1-350&#215;270.png</a></p>
<p>Its not as low as some previous September minima, but its still lower than<em> all</em> the maxima.  The beat goes on, and the trend continues.  Don&#8217;t fall for the denialist mantra; &#8220;The Arctic ice is recovering&#8221; just because the record low ice was five years ago.  But the record is broken, nonetheless, about every five years on the average.  Check out the graph, see for yourself. The decline, some say collapse, of the N polar icecap continues unabated.</p>
<p><img src="http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2017/10/monthly_ice_09_NH_v2.1-350x270.png" alt="." /></p>
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