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ER Speaks October 9, 2019 7:30 am ER

Trump isn’t going anywhere.

There is nothing the Democrats in the House can do to remove Trump from office. There is only two ways a sitting President can be legally and constitutionally removed: impeachment and the 25th Amendment.

It is unlikely the first option will get the required majority for conviction in a Republican-dominated Senate. The GOP has already demonstrated, by their defense of the President’s outrages, that preservation of his pro-business policies and Populist constituency takes precedence over any and all other considerations. Although a few Republican Senators may vote for conviction and their conscience, it is unlikely enough will do so.

The other alternative to remove a President is the 25th Amendment: the relevant section is as follows:

Section 4
Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.

As for some “other body as Congress may by law provide” being instituted, don’t hold your breath.

Again, it is unlikely a majority of the Trump-appointed Cabinet will vote for his removal; unless they can be promised immunity from prosecution for collaborating in his crimes. The Vice-President is unlikely to initiate a movement that might put him in jeopardy if it fails, so unless Trump’s future high crimes and misdemeanors are truly scandalous, it is unlikely his removal will originate in the Executive Branch. Scandalous behavior has done little to move the Republican Party or their constituency up to now, I doubt they will be moved by even greater indignities in the future.

So unless something really shocking, like a Turkish massacre of the Kurds, a disastrous military defeat for American arms, or a catastrophic collapse of the economy occurs, Trump ain’t going nowhere. He is safe as long as his congressional and cabinet support does not waver. No matter what happens in the House, Congress simply does not have the authority to enforce subpoenas, compel testimony or send Federal Marshals to 1600 Pennsylvania and execute an arrest warrant.

It doesn’t matter how compelling the evidence may be, the White House will simply refuse to look at it, and the President’s supporters will justify their continued inaction by dismissing it as another Democrat hoax and conspiracy. Still, it is essential that the impeachment inquiries continue. Regardless of their potential of success, refusal to impeach will simply be a surrender, tyranny will be legitimized and the loyal opposition to Trump will become mere accessories to his crimes.

The only way Trump can be removed is by his defeat at the polls, and then, only if he (or his supporters and constituency) accept the election results. And I don’t think they will.

  • There is a THIRD way... by ER 2019-10-11 10:25:58
    • There is absolutely no doubt... by BuckGalaxy 2019-10-09 10:45:00
      • Whether or not he accepts it is irrelevant. by ER 2019-10-09 13:51:29

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