Completely aside from the US political turmoil one way or another that will come this fall…
The grain shortages resulting from the war in Ukraine, and heat waves in India (https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2022/05/india-pakistan-heatwave-wheat-economic-costs/629753/) will very likely lead to famine and political unrest in the poorer countries…
As bad as the global instability already is… I fear it is going to get a LOT worse…
Oh… and china was thinking of moving against Taiwan soon- hopefully they are rethinking that given the response to Russia’s invasion.